This is the fourth presidential election for our “pres-by-CD project,” as we informally call it, but there’s one key difference this time: A new round of redistricting is about to begin, meaning new congressional districts will be used in 2022. We’re crunching numbers for the current districts, though, so that we can measure how much the new boundaries do, or don’t, change the partisan makeup of each district, which is a very useful tool for evaluating gerrymandering. We’re also certain to see some special elections over the next two years that will be held using the existing district lines, so our data will help determine early on which races could be competitive.Now, to the numbers! Oklahoma’s top-lines barely budged over the last four years: In 2016 it voted 65-29 for Trump, while this year it gave Trump a similar 65-33 victory, a shift that can be attributed to weaker showings by third-party candidates. For the fifth presidential election in a row, the GOP nominee for president carried every single one of Oklahoma’s 77 counties, and Trump, unsurprisingly, also won each of the Sooner State’s five congressional districts.- Advertisement – – Advertisement – While his statewide numbers didn’t shift much, Trump did see a larger collapse in the Oklahoma City-based 5th District, where his winning margin shrunk from 53-40 to 52-46—his weakest showing in the state. Democrats scored a major upset in the 5th District in 2018 when Democrat Kendra Horn unseated Republican Steve Russell, but Trump’s decline at the top of the ticket wasn’t enough to save Horn, who lost her first bid for reelection to Republican Stephanie Bice 52-48. Democrats could conceivably win back a seat like this one in the future, but Republicans, who will have unfettered control over redistricting next year, may simply divide the blue island of Oklahoma City between multiple districts.Meanwhile, Trump once again took at least 60% of the vote in Oklahoma’s other four congressional districts. Trump’s strongest margin of victory came in Republican Rep. Markwayne Mullin’s 2nd District in the eastern part of the state, which he took 76-22. This region, nicknamed “Little Dixie,” was relatively friendly turf for Democrats up until a decade ago: A previous version of the 2nd District decisively elected Democratic Rep. Dan Boren to a fourth term as late as 2010. Boren retired in 2012, though, and Mullin has had no trouble holding it against all Democratic comers during any of his five campaigns.P.S. — After we’ve released the presidential results for all 435 House districts, Daily Kos Elections will circle back and continue our project to calculate the presidential election results for every legislative district in the country.- Advertisement –
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DES MOINES — One of the country’s largest Latino organizations is calling for a boycott of processed meat, due to outbreaks of the coronavirus at meat packing plants. The League of United Latin American Citizens — also known as LULAC — is calling on consumers to join their “Meatless May” campaign.“This is again the time for people in America to speak up…for safety and health procedures for these workers,” says Joe Henry, a Des Moines area leader in LULAC, “to make sure that we have justice in the workplace.”Henry and other advocates say in addition to COVID-19 testing for all employees at food processing plants, the corporate owners of the plants should provide paid sick leave and slow down production lines so workers can stand farther apart.State officials announced yesterday that 1653 employees at four meat packing plants in Columbus Junction, Tama, Waterloo and Perry have tested positive for COVID-19. Henry says that means the relatives of those workers are at risk of contracting the virus.“Aunts and uncles in these homes, grandparents are becoming infected and then having to go the hospitals,” Henry says, “and so it’s tragic.”State officials reported yesterday that for the first time, more than 400 Iowans were hospitalized for treatment of COVID-19 and about a quarter of those patients were on ventilators. Fifty-six percent of Iowans who have died of the virus were residents of long term care facilities.